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July 29, 2008

Digital Media Divide?

I just finished reading a whitepaper regarding a digital media divide which was base around a struggle between content owners (e.g. HBO) and user generated content (UGC). The premise was the disruption created by UGC as being a threat to the content owners, essentially a competition for consumer timeshare and wallet. While I agree that there is a limit to the amount of content that can be consumed, I don’t see the divide of content owners vs UGC as the larger issue since I feel that consumers will always value good, original content. I believe the bigger issue is sharing and downward pressure on the price of mobile or web content. For example in the U.S., the price of a song is no more than Apple’s iTunes marketplace of $.99 due to their wide consumer base. Other services are moving closer to “all you can eat” with a subscription, such as Nokia’s Comes with Music, which is even less expensive. The price of digital content is further depressed via file sharing or sites that do not enforce copywrite. However, content owners can fight back and enable communities to form around their content which incorporates UGC to increase viewer loyalty and the value of their content. Potentially, concert and merchandise interest is increased for a musical artist or advertising premiums and ratings are increased for the broadcast or web/mobile viewing of a show such as Lost or Sopranos. In these instances, UGC can be harnessed to become an enabler, not a threat. It is a matter of changing business models to find all available revenue streams when the primary revenue stream is under pricing pressure.

Am I missing something in regards to this digital media divide? Maybe UGC hurts shows with very weak rating by providing another outlet for consumer attention? Are content owners simply as the mercy of the web 2.0? I would be interested in your opinions on the subject.

 

July 23, 2008

Social Networking remains hot, but how do we make money?

Being seemingly impervious to the current financial climate of tight money, Venture Capital continues to pour into wireless social networking startups and while others are being snapped up in a new wave of consolidation. Recent funding announcements include money for the likes of Zannel for $10M, Pelago for $15M, Kyte for $21M and Jaxtr for $10M, just to a name a few. The largest consolidation announcements came from Vodafone acquiring ZYB for $50M and Nokia acquiring Plazes for an undisclosed sum. Is this an irrational trend? I think not. These startups are adding one more component to the social networking value chain while product companies, such as Nokia, are continuing to develop their own portfolio offering in hopes of cashing in on the vast potential value that social networking represents. For example, Nielsen Company just released numbers suggesting that social networking usage on mobile only just recently passed 1.6% penetration in the US and 1.7% penetration in Europe, a number that should only exponentially grow. Additionally there will be a continuing turf war with operators, platform providers and handset manufactures trying to win the consumer to claim value.

 

The big question then becomes, “what value is there to claim?” for all of this investment. On the web, the market is already littered with point solutions and promises of ad funded models that have not delivered to expectations. Sure, there is uplift from new data plans from the operator to support social networking, but subscription revenue remains elusive while data usage then starts to rapidly increase. To use an example from a fixed line ISP, Plusnet in the UK released numbers showing that YouTube was consuming 17% of peak hour usage on their network, yet YouTube is still not even a large money maker for Google. I feel it is a great user base that has not been converted into a “consumer base”.

 

The answer is the creation of end to end thematic social networking portals for the customer. The thematic portals provide not only interaction, but context for relevant commerce, potential subscription revenue for high value content and targeted advertising since the audience is self-qualified. In my opinion, this mix of revenue streams will hold the greatest chance for success. A uniform and consistent, multi-screen experience completes the offering by making it easy for the consumer to interact via the modality that suits them best. The offering cannot be just another community that provides little marginal value.

 

 Thoughts?

 

July 10, 2008

Bringing Social Networks to the Network Provider

There have been many announcements over the last year with Communications Service Providers providing access to popular social networking sites such as MySpace, Facebook, Bebo and others. In the short run, this provides potential subscription revenue and data plan uplift to drive average revenue per user. However, I still have many concerns with this approach in that it does not create differentiation or enable one of the Service Provider’s key assets, customer information, since the social networking sites are essentially closed “black box” solutions. Orange has just announced a service to consolidate social networking sites to enable the display of “popular functions of each site side by side so they can be accessed with one click… to send messages, upload photos and check status updates without having to browse individual URLs or log into separate sites” which I feel is a terrific step forward. This not only creates differentiation, but also a new customer experience to ease the issues with managing multiple social networking sites and puts the Orange brand in the front of that access portal. Essentially, this is having the original network provider manage these new networks in an efficient manner.

While the efforts mentioned above are interesting, I feel they still fall short due to the fact that the value of the social network, the information on member interactions or social graph, is still hidden from the Service Provider. The information is not combined with the vast amount of customer information already resident within the Service Provider’s own databases. Gaining access to that social graph would provide insights to key influencers and support rich campaign targeting, particularly when combined with data from the mobile web or IPTV platforms. This is one of the reasons Infosys has created a white-label offering for Service Providers to launch their own social networking platforms that would be integrated into their own customer information systems and assets, in addition to providing lifestyle themes such as sports, to provide purpose to those community interactions. It is my opinion that this model will create the most value to the service provider due to the rich customer information generated, the creation of new commerce and advertising opportunities, and the establishment of a hub to promote other value added services. What are your thoughts on this approach? I welcome the discussion.

July 01, 2008

Future of Mobile Operators

Being a pure play mobile operator in western markets seems to be getting harder each day. They already have to deal with considerable market penetration which impacts future growth, but now a few more pieces of news will further complicate matters. First, a new study by Multimedia Intelligence noted the teen market, a growth segment and consumer of data services, is nearing saturation in the US. Considering this is not a multiple handset customer segment, this is not good news for the operators. Second, Tariff Consultancy has a new report detailing the worldwide trend for unlimited bundles for voice and texts. These unlimited plans simply beg for cost undercutting and further put pressure on data services to make up the revenue. My last point has more implication for European operators where the EU regulator wants international roaming charges greatly reduced, currently a good revenue stream for the mobile operators. Saturated markets, supersized bundles and cheap roaming, not a good state of affairs.

All is not lost however, the forward looking operators are already tapping into emerging markets in the east (Vodafone), using new handsets to drive demand (ATT iPhone), consolidating competition (Verizon/Alltel), bundling landline (T-Mobile) or simply looking to drive new data services revenues with a portfolio approach. Pressure on the mobile operators is nothing new, what is the correct strategy? I welcome your comments.