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February 28, 2007

The Incumbent Challenge

The Flat World forces have caused huge entry, sustenance and growth barriers in this industry to drop, leading to a plethora of competitive elements and consumer alternatives for "staying connected".

Internet Protocol (IP) technologies are flattening the core of the industry’s model. The new technology platforms are really leveling the playing field for deploying cheaper innovation faster, and by smaller players.

At the same time, consumer awareness is flattening the consumption edges of the industry. For instance, haven't you, the consumer, become more aware of what's behind the firewalls? More demanding of the converged services you desire? Don't you crave a service provider that can change as fast as you?

I think these trends have fueled the accelerated deployment of new innovation and the convergence of hitherto distinct businesses - communications, broadband, broadcast, entertainment and technology.

And all of this did not happen overnight! Rather, over the last decade or so, they have happened in iterations as the industry went through a roller coaster. Just when the telcos replaced dial-up with faster ADSL, cable companies entered the voice and internet access markets. Even as telcos close nationwide content deals for their new video services, the nature of broadcast television is shifting to more personal and community content on TiVos and youTube. The turns are getting faster, steeper and closer to each other, causing even more disruption to known orders.

It's forcing the incumbents to behave like challengers.

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February 21, 2007

Circles of Evolution

“What?” I hear you say, “Another blog for the communications industry? “ Well, like most others, we hope to make a point here and then take it this way and that to create a few lines, and then maybe go around in circles before we finally erase the board and start again with renewed vigor…

Sounds a bit like the telecommunications industry that emerged on 1 January 2007, doesn’t it? Except maybe, for the fact that the marketplace seems to have undergone a transformation like no other while Ma-Bell redrew herself.

Always something new to offer.  

I was browsing the web sites of the large telecoms of the world and couldn’t help but notice how nearly 90% of them have some kind of a circle or oval shape in their logos – perhaps suggesting a global connectedness and a multi-dimensional character. Then again, maybe it’s just a reflection of a feeling of completeness. Known boundaries. Stable revolutions. Symmetric outcomes. Complex forces made to appear simple.

Fact is that the numerous technologies, media, content, players and consumers that make up our communications planetary system have begun to exert a new set of forces. Some will use the energy to catapult into new orbits. Others with thin crusts will be exposed and relegated to the status of Pluto.

Join me as we debate, discuss and demystify this emerging landscape. I hope to bring together the perspectives of eager consumers, industry experts, technology gurus and market commentators.